Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000929 0.000999 0.001073 0.001157 0.001250 0.001351 0.001469
2025-12-14 0.000822 0.000915 0.001019 0.001143 0.001289 0.001457 0.001666
2025-12-21 0.000745 0.000849 0.000968 0.001117 0.001299 0.001519 0.001807
2025-12-28 0.000666 0.000771 0.000895 0.001053 0.001254 0.001503 0.001843
2026-01-04 0.000611 0.000718 0.000846 0.001013 0.001231 0.001509 0.001902
2026-01-11 0.000577 0.000687 0.000820 0.000999 0.001237 0.001551 0.002010
2026-01-18 0.000551 0.000664 0.000803 0.000994 0.001254 0.001606 0.002138
2026-01-25 0.000599 0.000737 0.000913 0.001161 0.001515 0.002021 0.002837
2026-02-01 0.000561 0.000695 0.000869 0.001118 0.001479 0.002004 0.002875
2026-02-08 0.000531 0.000663 0.000836 0.001087 0.001457 0.002006 0.002942
2026-02-15 0.000510 0.000641 0.000816 0.001073 0.001458 0.002044 0.003070
2026-02-22 0.000487 0.000616 0.000789 0.001048 0.001441 0.002049 0.003144
2026-03-01 0.000461 0.000589 0.000762 0.001024 0.001430 0.002075 0.003275
2026-03-08 0.000441 0.000569 0.000744 0.001013 0.001440 0.002136 0.003484
2026-03-15 0.000420 0.000545 0.000719 0.000991 0.001430 0.002163 0.003630
2026-03-22 0.000391 0.000510 0.000676 0.000937 0.001363 0.002086 0.003559
2026-03-29 0.000370 0.000485 0.000646 0.000903 0.001327 0.002058 0.003586
2026-04-05 0.000356 0.000470 0.000631 0.000891 0.001327 0.002095 0.003752
2026-04-12 0.000346 0.000459 0.000622 0.000887 0.001339 0.002155 0.003979
2026-04-19 0.000373 0.000505 0.000699 0.001029 0.001621 0.002768 0.005632
2026-04-26 0.000355 0.000482 0.000671 0.000992 0.001576 0.002722 0.005649
2026-05-03 0.000341 0.000464 0.000648 0.000966 0.001548 0.002709 0.005751
2026-05-10 0.000330 0.000452 0.000635 0.000954 0.001547 0.002753 0.006019